Lenovo Projects 14% Surge in PC Shipments for 2025 in China Amid Market Challenges

The year 2025 witnessed a strong surge in PC shipments within China, yet predictions for 2026 suggest a downward trend. Lenovo continues to dominate the market, outpacing its rivals with a remarkable performance.

Lenovo Leads the Pack with Impressive Growth

As reports suggest, Lenovo has maintained its leadership position in the PC market, especially in regions like mainland China. The tech giant achieved an impressive 14% growth year-over-year in Q3 2025, setting itself apart from competitors who faced declines. Lenovo shipped nearly 4.4 million PCs during this period, capturing a commanding 39% share of the market.

A bar and line chart titled 'Mainland China desktop* and notebook* shipments Q1 2024 – Q4 2026' shows an expected 5% growth in China's PC market in 2025, followed by a 2% decline in 2026.

Market Trends and Projections

Latest data reveal that overall PC shipments in Q3 2025 experienced growth compared to the previous year. The projection indicates a 5% increase in shipments for 2025, with a potential 2% decline expected next year. Notebooks continue to outshine desktops, maintaining a shipment rate 2.5X higher than their counterparts.

A table titled People's Republic of China (mainland) desktop and notebook shipments shows Lenovo leading with 39% market share in Q3 2025, and an annual growth of 14%.

Competition and Future Outlook

Lenovo remains the dominant force, followed by Huawei, which shipped nearly 1 million units, marking a 7% drop from the same time last year. ASUS held steady with an 8% market share, demonstrating no shipment decline. Overall, 11.3 million units were shipped in Q3 2025, up from 11.1 million the previous year, reflecting a 2% growth in Q3 alone.

A table titled 'People’s Republic of China (mainland) PC forecast' from Omdia PC Horizon Service shows total PC unit shipments growing from 71.2 million in 2024 to 76.8 million in 2025, then decreasing to 72.8 million in 2026.

Looking ahead to 2026, a projected decline of 2.6% is anticipated, with total PC shipments estimated at 40.6 million. Strong enterprise and government demand have fueled recent growth, but future success may require smaller manufacturers to explore AI PC advancements to capture greater market shares.